I have another prediction, and I want to write it down now, in public, before it happens, so that when it does happen, and I think it will, there’s a record of someone calling it in advance instead of just nodding along after the fact like everyone always does. Here’s the prediction. If this trajectoryContinue reading “The Script Is About To Flip, And Both Sides Are About To Be Wrong Again”
Tag Archives: geopolitics
The Wars Have Merged, And Now We Have To Choose What Happens Next
There’s a moment that happens sometimes in history where two separate fires that everyone assumed were contained finally touch, and instead of two fires you have one fire, bigger than either one alone, burning in a direction nobody fully controls. That moment happened this weekend. Ukraine struck an Iranian vessel in the Caspian Sea, aContinue reading “The Wars Have Merged, And Now We Have To Choose What Happens Next”
Pickaxe Mountain and the Question of What Happens When You Bomb a Bomb Factory
As of July 24, 2026, the United States finds itself once again on the edge of a decision that could reshape the Middle East, and this time the target has a name that sounds almost cartoonish for something so serious. Pickaxe Mountain. It is the informal nickname given to a fortified underground facility that IranContinue reading “Pickaxe Mountain and the Question of What Happens When You Bomb a Bomb Factory”
The Difference Between Political Theater and Political Reality in New York
There is a massive difference between what politicians say during campaigns and what they would actually do once they are sitting in office with the full weight of government institutions, diplomatic pressure, federal agencies, media scrutiny, police unions, donors, courts, foreign governments, and financial markets all staring directly at them. That difference is exactly whyContinue reading “The Difference Between Political Theater and Political Reality in New York”
The Strait of Hormuz Cannot Stop Opening and Closing, and Neither Can the War It Sits Inside
If you have spent the last several months trying to track whether the Strait of Hormuz is open or closed, you are not confused because you are bad at following news, you are confused because the situation itself has been built, almost mechanically, to resist a stable answer. It opens, it closes, it opens aContinue reading “The Strait of Hormuz Cannot Stop Opening and Closing, and Neither Can the War It Sits Inside”
If the Iran War Continues Into the World Cup, Calls for a Boycott Will Grow
As of 4/27/26, there is a question that many people may soon be forced to confront: what happens if the Iran war is still ongoing two months from now when the FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin in the United States? Because if the host nation is actively engaged in military conflict against oneContinue reading “If the Iran War Continues Into the World Cup, Calls for a Boycott Will Grow”
Iraq Joining the Iran War Means America Is Repeating the Same Old Disaster Cycle
As of 4/27/26, reports that Iraq is now being pulled into the Iran war should set off alarms everywhere. Because if this conflict expands through Iraqi territory, militias, bases, or direct confrontation, then we are staring at something many Americans never wanted to see again: Iraq War 2.0. And the political irony is staggering. DuringContinue reading “Iraq Joining the Iran War Means America Is Repeating the Same Old Disaster Cycle”
The U.S. Takeover of the Iranian Ship Was Absolutely an Act of War
As of 4/26/26, one of the most under-discussed escalations in the current Iran war is the U.S. seizure of the Iranian-flagged cargo ship Touska. Earlier this week, American forces intercepted the vessel, fired into its engine room to disable it, boarded it, and took custody of the ship and cargo. By any honest reading ofContinue reading “The U.S. Takeover of the Iranian Ship Was Absolutely an Act of War”
The Iran War Is Escalating Again — And Things Are Getting Worse
As of 4/26/26, hopes that the Iran war was cooling down appear to be fading fast. Instead of de-escalation, the region seems to be sliding back into confrontation. Diplomatic momentum is weakening, tensions between the United States and Iran are rising again, and the Strait of Hormuz remains at the center of the crisis. RecentContinue reading “The Iran War Is Escalating Again — And Things Are Getting Worse”
The Current Iran War Feels More Dangerous Than the Cuban Missile Crisis
The current Iran war, as of 4/21/26, has entered a phase that should alarm the entire world. A few days ago, the United States under President Trump reportedly attacked and seized an Iranian-flagged cargo ship in the Gulf of Oman after it allegedly attempted to challenge the U.S. naval blockade. Trump publicly claimed a U.S.Continue reading “The Current Iran War Feels More Dangerous Than the Cuban Missile Crisis”